The Alabama Crimson Tide, opening the 2026 season ranked No. 13, face significant expectations following the transition from Nick Saban to new coach Kalen DeBoer. ESPN鈥檚 Football Power Index predicts they will be underdogs in only two games this season, showcasing their potential as strong contenders. Aiming for a 10-2 record, the Tide's projected win total stands at 8.79. The season kicks off against East Carolina on September 5.

By the Numbers
  • Alabama has a 94.6% chance to win against East Carolina.
  • Only two games this season, against Georgia and LSU, have win probabilities below 50%
Yes, But

Despite favorable projections, the Tide's shift in coaching presents uncertainties. Following a legendary era under Saban, DeBoer faces high stakes and must prove his ability to maintain Alabama's competitive standard.

State of Play
  • The Tide starts the 2026 season with a low preseason ranking, their worst in nearly two decades.
  • This season marks a significant transition period as Kalen DeBoer adapts to the demands of the Alabama program.
What's Next

As the season progresses, the Tide's performance against stronger opponents will be crucial in determining DeBoer's long-term prospects. Success in the early games could build momentum going into tougher matchups.

Bottom Line

Alabama must achieve solid results early in the season to solidify DeBoer's role and restore confidence among fans and stakeholders, proving the program remains a championship contender.